Understanding Running Back Metrics in Fantasy Football
In the world of fantasy football, evaluating running backs requires a deeper analysis of both their performance and the teams they’re part of.
One key metric that often goes unnoticed is yards before contact, a vital statistic that reflects how effectively offensive lines support their running backs.
Yards after contact is frequently discussed, but yards before contact gives insights into the offensive line’s effectiveness and the ball-carrier’s ability to exploit running lanes.
This article delves into current running back statistics through this lens, offering buying and selling strategies based on what the numbers reveal.
The Importance of Yards Before Contact
Yards before contact metrics measure how many yards a running back gains before being touched by a defender.
A high yards before contact number indicates strong blocking from the offensive line, whereas a low number might signal issues.
After determining the most viable players to target and avoid based on this metric, you can better strategize your fantasy team.
Current Leaders in Yards Before Contact
Analyzing the players leading in this statistic helps highlight those who may be undervalued or overvalued due to their performance so far.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt and Travis Etienne Jr. are leading the pack, showcasing their ability to benefit from significant push up front.
Both players have consistently gained substantial yards before contact, indicating a healthy offensive setup.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: A Buy Opportunity
Croskey-Merritt currently tops the list for yards before contact, averaging over 2 yards before a hit.
This suggests he’s benefitting greatly from his offensive line. With solid after-contact numbers, it’s wise to invest in him while his value is on the rise.
Nick Chubb: A Cautionary Sell
Chubb, despite a high average of yards before contact, plays behind one of the league’s weakest offensive lines.
The concern here is sustainability; most of his rushing yards are being recorded before contact. As defenses adjust and the line struggles, his value could inevitably drop.
Kenneth Walker III: Buying into Potential
Walker has been performing well, gaining notable yards before contact, yet his scoring reflects a different narrative.
His current rankings in fantasy metrics suggest an undervalued running back who is positioned for a breakout.
Identifying Backfield Opportunities
Knowing when to pivot in the middle of the season is crucial. Identifying teams with better offensive showings can guide your strategic moves.
For example, rookie RJ Harvey has been underperforming due to low yards before contact, yet excels in yards after contact metrics.
Finding Bargains and Rising Stars
Despite initially poor performances, running backs like Harvey may gain steam if their offensive lines improve or if they start to recognize and adapt to their blocking schemes.
A careful eye on these statistics will enable you to predict potential improvements and capitalize on players whose values are poised to rise dramatically.
Zach Charbonnet: A Cautionary Sell
Charbonnet has also capitalized on short-yardage situations, leading to inflated fantasy points.
However, his dependence on touchdown opportunities could mean a decline if he doesn’t gain more consistency in the rushing game.
Examining Other Contenders
As you navigate through roster decisions, examine running backs who showcase favorable after-contact metrics but lag in yards before contact.
Statistical shifts often reflect changes in blocking schemes, defensive adjustments, and injuries. Monitoring these players can provide competitive edges.
Conclusion: Takeaway Strategies for Fantasy Managers
Stay vigilant about running back trends. Players who are performing well early in the season may fluctuate as more data comes in.
Utilizing stats like yards before contact can help you form timely trades. Keep focused on the overall dynamics of your fantasy roster.
By making informed decisions now, you can position yourself for a more prosperous fantasy season.